Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000583 0.000665 0.000752 0.000850 0.000959 0.001075 0.001208
2025-11-02 0.000459 0.000572 0.000701 0.000856 0.001038 0.001244 0.001492
2025-11-09 0.000388 0.000515 0.000666 0.000856 0.001088 0.001359 0.001697
2025-11-16 0.000322 0.000453 0.000616 0.000829 0.001098 0.001421 0.001837
2025-11-23 0.000274 0.000406 0.000577 0.000808 0.001109 0.001481 0.001971
2025-11-30 0.000241 0.000375 0.000554 0.000804 0.001138 0.001561 0.002129
2025-12-07 0.000214 0.000349 0.000535 0.000803 0.001169 0.001642 0.002288
2025-12-14 0.000189 0.000322 0.000512 0.000793 0.001185 0.001703 0.002423
2025-12-21 0.000166 0.000296 0.000488 0.000779 0.001195 0.001754 0.002543
2025-12-28 0.000156 0.000288 0.000489 0.000800 0.001253 0.001870 0.002753
2026-01-04 0.000144 0.000277 0.000485 0.000812 0.001298 0.001969 0.002942
2026-01-11 0.000129 0.000260 0.000468 0.000805 0.001314 0.002028 0.003076
2026-01-18 0.000116 0.000242 0.000451 0.000796 0.001326 0.002083 0.003208
2026-01-25 0.000106 0.000232 0.000444 0.000802 0.001363 0.002173 0.003391
2026-02-01 0.000097 0.000220 0.000433 0.000802 0.001388 0.002247 0.003552
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000200 0.000408 0.000776 0.001373 0.002260 0.003625
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000184 0.000388 0.000757 0.001366 0.002284 0.003714
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000174 0.000377 0.000753 0.001383 0.002344 0.003857
2026-03-01 0.000061 0.000165 0.000369 0.000751 0.001403 0.002410 0.004009
2026-03-08 0.000054 0.000155 0.000356 0.000742 0.001410 0.002454 0.004129
2026-03-15 0.000048 0.000144 0.000341 0.000729 0.001410 0.002487 0.004233
2026-03-22 0.000046 0.000142 0.000345 0.000749 0.001466 0.002609 0.004473
2026-03-29 0.000043 0.000139 0.000345 0.000760 0.001507 0.002709 0.004683